Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.039822 0.043288 0.046778 0.050550 0.054506 0.058525 0.062911
2025-10-19 0.034733 0.039895 0.045264 0.051240 0.057683 0.064397 0.071902
2025-10-26 0.030756 0.037146 0.043984 0.051793 0.060408 0.069574 0.080013
2025-11-02 0.026086 0.033163 0.040959 0.050083 0.060372 0.071527 0.084449
2025-11-09 0.022976 0.030623 0.039270 0.049611 0.061493 0.074581 0.089952
2025-11-16 0.020487 0.028570 0.037935 0.049361 0.062710 0.077618 0.095338
2025-11-23 0.019263 0.027900 0.038112 0.050771 0.065756 0.082673 0.102964
2025-11-30 0.018080 0.027169 0.038125 0.051911 0.068430 0.087261 0.110035
2025-12-07 0.016826 0.026244 0.037818 0.052596 0.070512 0.091127 0.116249
2025-12-14 0.015465 0.025078 0.037129 0.052746 0.071899 0.094139 0.121445
2025-12-21 0.014720 0.024664 0.037338 0.053961 0.074538 0.098605 0.128329
2025-12-28 0.013194 0.023091 0.035983 0.053156 0.074666 0.100052 0.131635
2026-01-04 0.012189 0.022200 0.035498 0.053456 0.076183 0.103214 0.137054
2026-01-11 0.011435 0.021615 0.035383 0.054206 0.078244 0.107032 0.143268
2026-01-18 0.010684 0.020981 0.035165 0.054795 0.080091 0.110586 0.149173
2026-01-25 0.009191 0.019132 0.033204 0.053032 0.078915 0.110416 0.150571
2026-02-01 0.008252 0.018053 0.032249 0.052547 0.079321 0.112152 0.154248
2026-02-08 0.007464 0.017151 0.031494 0.052290 0.079987 0.114187 0.158274
2026-02-15 0.007234 0.017140 0.032009 0.053752 0.082877 0.118991 0.165691
2026-02-22 0.006942 0.017002 0.032326 0.054933 0.085401 0.123341 0.172564
2026-03-01 0.006544 0.016654 0.032312 0.055643 0.087299 0.126907 0.178478
2026-03-08 0.006034 0.016069 0.031915 0.055799 0.088453 0.129528 0.183226
2026-03-15 0.005828 0.016012 0.032307 0.057056 0.091066 0.133998 0.190270